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Outlook for Quebec
According to forecasts, Quebec can expect an average salary increase of 2.6% and a median of 2.62% in 2012.

The finance and insurance sector will head the list with an average increase of 3.3%, while senior executives in this sector will see their salary rise by 3.9%. In this group, the gap between the highest, lowest and median (2.73%) increase is respectively 1.17% and 0.83%.

Managers and professionals in the retail trade are slated for the lowest increase at 1.6%, compared to the sector as a whole where salaries should climb by an average 1.93%. The median increase for this job category will be 2.65% and the gap between the highest and lowest increase in relation to this median will equal 0.55% and 1.05% respectively.

It should also be noted that for the three job categories, managers and professionals are expected to receive the greatest overall average pay raise at 2.63%.

Outlook for Canada as a whole
Forecasts indicate that the average salary increase Canada-wide will be 2.84% in 2012, while the median increase will be 2.86%.

At 3.38%, the mining and gas and oil extraction industries, along with the finance and insurance sector, should expect to see the highest average increases.

Senior executives in these industries will come out on top with an increase of 3.6%, versus an overall median of 2.88% in this job category. For this group, the gap between the highest and lowest in relation to this median is respectively 0.72% and 0.68%.

Administrative and technical employees in the public administration sector will receive the lowest increase at 2.15%. What’s more, in this category, the gap between the highest, lowest and median (2.7%) increase is 0.65% and 0.55% respectively. However, the recreation industry will post the lowest average increase at 2.2%.

For all three job categories, managers and professionals will enjoy the greatest overall average pay raise at 2.89%.

General highlights
Despite current instability, many respondents are optimistic about their organization’s growth and profitability in 2012. Moreover, while fewer organizations implemented salary freezes in 2011 than in 2010, forecasts suggest the trend will continue in 2012.

Although compensation is not the only engagement driver, employers are aware of and concerned about the importance of introducing a salary structure that recognizes employees’ individual performance. As well, they generally feel the need to improve total compensation in order to attract the skilled human resources their organizations need.

Accordingly, developing merit programs is likely to be one of the main trends for 2012. We’ll probably see a portion of base pay budgets being channelled to variable pay schemes. However, when it comes to discussing compensation with their teams, management development will also be taken into consideration.

Lastly, it’s worth pointing out that the inflation rate during the survey exceeded the average payroll increase, something that hasn’t been seen for a decade. Nonetheless, while salaries aren’t expected to reach pre-recession levels, they are tending to rise in this direction.

Summary table

Expected salary increases for 2012 Canada-wide and in Quebec
(average values in %, including zeros*),
according to surveys of participating firms**

Managers and
and technical
Managers and
and technical
  Average Average Average Average Average Average
Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting n/a. n/a. n/a. 3,0% 3,0% 2,5%
Mining and oil and gas extraction n/a. n/a. n/a. 3,6% 3,35% 3,2%
Utilities 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 2.4% 2.58% 2.4%
Construction 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 3.35% 3.35%
Manufacturing 2.87% 2.85% 2.63% 3.05% 2.98% 2.95%
Wholesale trade 2.73% 2.65% 2.57% 2.75% 2.75% 2.7%
Retail trade 2.15% 1.6% 2.05% 2.8% 2.75% 2.65%
Transportation and warehousing 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 2.95% 2.8% 2.7%
Information and culture industries n/a. n/a. n/a. 3.3% 2.9% 2.7%
Finance and insurance 3.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.48% 3.35% 3.3%
Real estate n/a. n/a. n/a. 2.95% 3.1% 3.2%
Professional. scientific and technical services 2.75% 3.1% 2.6% 2.8% 2.95% 2.8%
Educational services n/a. n/a. n/a. 2.7% 2.8% 2.9%
Healthcare and social assistance n/a. n/a. n/a. 2.3% 2.88% 2.7%
Recreation 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.2%
Accommodation and food services n/a. n/a. n/a. 3.0% 3.0% 2.9%
Other services 2.9% 2.9% 2.67% 2.55% 2.88% 2.85%
Public administration 2.33% 2.6% 2.27% 2.5% 2.63% 2.15%
(*) The detailed forecasts of each participating firm are presented in this section.
(**) The figures in this table are for information purposes and are intended to indicate major trends, given that the firms present either average or median values.

Source : Prévisions salariales 2012


Droits réservés 2018, Ordre des conseillers en ressources humaines et en relations industrielles agréés du Québec.


Affaires RH Fondation CRHA Les relations du travail au Québec - Des témoins tracent la ligne du temps Objectif CRHA Prévention de la violence au travail